A snapshot of teacher supply and demand in B.C.

by Anne C. Schaefer

Copyright © BCTF, reprinted with permission from Teacher Newsmagazine, Volume 13, Number 6, April 2001

Teacher supply and demand can change unexpectedly. Remember "the Asian flu" a few years ago? That financial crisis caused people to leave the province–and the schools. Here are some factors in B.C.’s teacher supply and demand.

New hires
Almost 2,100 new educators got part-time or full-time teaching jobs in 2000. Some were replacing retirees and other teachers who left the system, and some were hired because of enrolment growth and the collective agreement. We don’t know how many were teachers on call (TOCs) in the past, or how many came from outside the province.

Gender
Nearly three-quarters of new hires in 2000 were female.

Retirees
Just over 550 teachers retired from schools in 2000, compared with 1,340 in 1999 and 1,024 in 1998. The lower number this year probably results from veteran teachers’ deciding to take part in provincially negotiated early-retirement plans in 1998 and 1999.

Collective agreement
As a result of the staffing formulas and primary class size initiative in the 1998 collective agreement, 1,284 full-time equivalent teaching positions have been created–an increase in demand that would not have occurred otherwise.

Enrolment
Provincially, enrolment has been declining slightly for the past three years. The trend is expected to continue into the future, with a number of districts experiencing little change or losing enrolment. Some districts, such as Abbotsford and
Surrey, however, are still growing relatively quickly.

Impending retirements
The average retirement age for teachers in B.C. is 59. The earliest age at which teachers can retire with a pension is 55. Large numbers of educators will retire within the next five to ten years.

In 2000, more than 13,000–over one-third–of all educators are 50 or older, meaning they are likely to retire within the next four to eight years. That breaks down into more than half of all administrative officers (AOs) and one-third of all teachers.

The retirement of the more than 4,000 educators who are at least 55 this year is likely within one to three years. This accounts for nearly 11% of all educators. Among AOs, 15% are 55 or older.

TOCs
Teachers on call (TOCs) are an integral part of the public education system. They are needed to replace regular teachers who are ill, accessing professional development, or away for brief periods for other reasons. Each district manages the size of its TOC pool, often limiting it to those they would ultimately like to hire on continuing contracts. The optimal number of TOCs needed by the system has not been calculated. BCTF’s member records indicate that there were just over 7,300 TOCs throughout the province as of February 2000. Some of them also had a part-time teaching contract.

TOCs’ daily rates of pay vary by district. For example, in the Lower Mainland, where many TOCs are on multiple TOC lists and can pick and choose assignments, Surrey TOCs in Category 5 earn about $144 per day. In Richmond, Vancouver, and Delta, they earn about $152; whereas in Burnaby, the rate is $163, and in Maple Ridge, New Westminster, and Coquitlam, it is almost $170.

Starting salaries
The median starting salary for a teacher with five years of university preparation who obtains a full-time contract is $38,400. Among teachers, starting salaries vary even between Lower Mainland districts: a beginning Category 5 teacher can summon anywhere from $35,675 in
West Vancouver, to $39,658 in Vancouver.

In contrast, some occupations requiring about two years of college-level training command higher starting salaries. For example, firefighters and public health inspectors average almost $41,000 to start, construction millwrights get about $45,000, and dental hygienists earn nearly $50,000 after completing their training.

Supply of new teachers
New teachers are educated at B.C.’s major universities and one university-college. About 1,500 to 1,700 new B.C.-educated teachers receive a teaching certificate each year. Not all of them will decide to enter teaching; others will leave teaching after a short while.

New teachers also move to B.C. from outside the province. In recent years, the College of Teachers has issued 650 to 900 certificates per year to out-of-province teachers. The 10-year average is 918, but numbers have declined significantly since 1995. There is no guarantee that B.C. will continue to receive such a large number of qualified teachers from outside the province, as many other jurisdictions are in the early throes of teacher shortages.

Between 1990 and 1999, the college granted just under 25,000 teaching certificates, and there were just over 19,500 "new hires." That means that 5,315 new teachers did not find contract teaching positions. A quarter may prefer TOC work.

Some teachers are working part-time involuntarily: 30% of female teachers and 8% of males work part-time–overall 23%. We don’t know how many of them choose part-time work for health or lifestyle reasons. Surveys show, however, that 75% of TOCs want an ongoing teaching position.

Supply and demand
Retirements will escalate over the next few years, peaking at perhaps 2,100 per year from 2004 to 2006. As noted above, about 2,300 to 2,600 new teachers are available each year.

Shortages
While the aggregated numbers may look okay, the devil is in the details. Districts throughout the province have already reported difficulty hiring for a wide range of subjects, from technology education, math, and science to modern languages and visual/performing arts. Shortages of TOCs have also been reported, in some cases resulting in cancellation of PD and leaves for contract teachers. Furthermore, certain districts, especially in the north, hire uncertificated substitutes.

As more and more teachers retire, the challenge for teachers, universities, and school districts will be to align the specializations of new and existing teachers (subject areas and elementary or secondary level) with the needs of each school in the province. Efforts are already under way through the Teacher Supply and Demand Consortium to enhance co-operation among the interested parties and ensure that children in British Columbia continue to receive the best education possible.

Districts throughout the province have already reported difficulty hiring for a wide range of subjects, from technology education, math, and science to modern languages and visual/performing arts.

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